Southwestern Atlantic: 



Fishing in the waters around the Falklands will 

 remain mostly unchanged, with most of the catch of 

 cephalopodes going to Spanish high-seas vessels 

 (about 90,000 tons). A few Portuguese (3,000 tons) 

 and Italian vessels (3,000 tons) may fish under 

 licenses issued by U.K. authorities. In addition, the 

 vanguard of the EC fleet is projected to arrive in 

 Argentina during 1994 and fishing will begin, albeit 

 at reduced levels. A few Portuguese or Greek 

 vessels are expected to benefit from the agreement. 

 The French may send one or two large stem trawlers 

 to the region to "test the waters" in 1994 or 1995'' 

 Some of the large pelagic vessels from the 

 Netherlands or Germany could be attracted to the 

 region if catches are good and problems are 

 minimal.' 



complement of 70 EC vessels should be in operation 

 in Argentina's waters and harvests should increase. 

 However, the EC-Argentina agreement requires that 

 half of the EC fleet (35 vessels) become Argentina- 

 flag vessels; thus the catch of those vessels will be 

 listed by Argentina and not the EC. Dutch or German 

 high-seas may start "klondiking" fish from EC or 

 local vessels.^ 



Indian Ocean: 



Fishing in the Indian Ocean will increase slightly as 

 newer, more efficient vessels are added to the French 

 and Spanish tuna fleets in the region. Italian vessels 

 are expected to continue to fish for non-tuna species 

 in the region, but may be increasingly attracted by 

 the idea of fishing for these highly migratory species 

 in these waters (Figure 16). 



Indian Ocean: 



Spanish and French tuna vessels will continue to fish 

 for tuna in the Indian Ocean while Italian vessels fish 

 for a variety of other marine species in the region 

 (see Figure 15). 



B. 1995 



Northwestern Atlantic: 



The groundfish resources of the NAFO area, from 

 Canada to Greenland, are projected to remain 

 depleted; few vessels will find opportunities to 

 expand their catch in the northwestern Atlantic in 

 1995. 



Eastern Central Atlantic: 



Fishing off West Africa, from Morocco to Sao Tome 

 and Principe will remain stable. No major increase 

 or decrease is anticipated until the African countries 

 renegotiate their bilateral agreements with the EC in 

 1996. 



Southeastern Atlantic: 



Fishing from Angola to Namibia and South Africa, is 

 expected to increase as Spanish, French, and 

 Portuguese vessels resume their former effort off 

 Namibia. Modest fishing off South Africa will 

 continue under agreement.* 



Southwestern Atlantic: 



The waters off the Falklands and Argentina, are 

 expected to yield more fish to EC vessels, especially 

 from Spain, Portugal, the UK, and Italy. The full 



C. 1996 



Northwestern Atlantic: 



Groundfish resources in the NAFO region, between 

 Canada and Western Greenland, are projected to 

 remain poor during 1996 (and possibly through 1998, 

 despite drastic efforts to rebuild stocks). Thus, this 

 area should not produce an increase in fishing effort 

 and catches in 1996. 



Eastern Central Atlantic: 



The catch of EC vessels off West Africa will see a 

 modest decline, as Morocco trims the size of the 

 Spanish fleet of day boats fishing off its coast in 1996 

 as they have done in the past. Many other African 

 countries will impose greater financial requirements 

 on the EC for continued access as most bilateral 

 agreements are due for renewal in 1996. The EC is 

 expected to continue to maintain ties with most 

 African nations from Morocco south to Sao Tome 

 and Principe and will continue to pay for access to 

 African fishing grounds. 



Southeastern Atlantic: 



Fishing in the waters off Namibia, will plateau as EC 

 vessels reach the maximum levels allowed under EC- 

 Namibian agreements, probably in the area of 

 100,000 tons of cape hake. It is possible that Dutch 

 or German-flag high-seas vessels' may be attracted 

 to pelagic fish stocks off southern Africa or may be 

 able to klondike fish from Angolan, Namibian, South 

 African, or Mozamibican fishermen for sale 

 elsewhere in Africa. 



271 



