According to the Coast Guard plan, this, 

 theoretically, would reduce the number of 

 violations per year from the expected 2,150 to 

 about 110, based on the assumption that 

 detection and identification constitute en- 

 forcement (see figure 5). However, there is 

 some question about the wisdom of this 

 assumption since simple detection of a viola- 

 tion by an aircraft or other means does not 

 guarantee that the violation will cease and 

 that the violator will be penalized. 



The Coast Guard plan would necessitate the 

 addition of 10 fixed- wing aircraft, 5 helicop- 

 ters, and 6 high-endurance cutters. Procure- 

 ment and operation of these new craft was 

 estimated at $275.4 million through fiscal year 

 1978. After appropriation of the fiscal year 

 1977 budget, this strategy was reassessed and 

 it was determined that budget constraints dic- 

 tated that initial enforcement focus on the ac- 

 tive fishing areas only. For maximum effect in 

 that area with appropriated funds, the Coast 

 Guard revised procurement plans to include 

 purchase of four C-130s and reactivation of 

 four C-131s; reactivation of its last five spare, 

 short-range shipboard helicopters, and tem- 

 porary overscheduling of the crews of five 

 others; and reactivation of one cutter — all of 

 which could be in operation close to the 

 March 1, 1977, effective date of the law. The 

 package, with necessary support facilities, was 

 estimated to cost $64.3 million. 27 



Most of the projected new vehicles are 

 scheduled for use where the new U.S. jurisdic- 

 tion now takes in more extensive fishing 

 grounds, that is, in the Pacific Council area 

 and off the Alaskan coast. Since these areas 

 contain about 16 species of fish which have 

 been overexploited in the past, the allocation 

 of more vehicles to enforce regulations there 

 will also aid in the conservation and recovery 

 of these stocks. (See figures 6 through 10.) 



Figure 5 



Expected Number of 



Undetected Violations by 



IVIonth Under "No Effort", 



FY 75 Level, 



and Planned Enforcement 



600- 



500- 



S5 

 o 

 > 



0) 



n 



E 



3 

 Z 



"O 

 0) 



400- 



300- 



B 200-1 

 o 



a 



100' 



Total 21 50 

 Total 1030 

 Total 110 



JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 



D 



No EMoft Level oi 

 Enforcement 



I FY 75 Level ol 

 Enlorcemenl EMorl 



I Planned Entorcemenl 



I Lt'vel ol Etlort 



Source: U.S. Department of Transportation. Coast Guard 



31 



