2061 



"ERDA-52, UC-2" 



The purpose of the study was "[t]o evaluate and estimate the potential 

 market for products of the U.S. nuclear industry in the lesser developed 

 countries (LDCs) and to analyze the political, economic and security impli- 

 cations of U.S. nuclear technology exports to these countries." 

 Barnabv, Frank. "A Gentlemen's Nuclear Agreement." New Scientist, v. 73, 

 Feb. "24, 1977: 469-471. 



"Early in March [1977] the 'London Club' of nuclear exporting countries 

 meets in London to continue its discussions of mutual controls to limit the 

 undesirable spread of nuclear technology." 

 Barnaby, Frank. "You and Nuclear War." Sweden Now, v. 11, No. 1, 1977: 14, 

 16-17, 46-48. 



Interview with the director of SIPRI, the Stockholm International Peace 

 Research Institute, iii which Barnaby expresses his anxieties over the pro- 

 liferation of nuclear materials. 

 Bauser, Michael A. "United States Nuclear Export Policy: Developing the Peace- 

 ful Atom as a Commodity in International Trade." Harvard International Law 

 Journal, v. 18, spring 1977: 227-272. 



". . . Article discusses the development of United States nuclear export 



policy, focusing on activity during the term of the last (94th) Congress." 



ben-Shaher, Haim, Uzi B. Arad, and Barry J. Smernoff. American Security and the 



International Energy Situation. Vol. III. The Petromoney Question. Croton-on- 



Hudson, Hudson Institute, Inc. Apr. 15, 1975. 102 p. (Available from NTIS 



as AD-A028 480/2SL.) 



This volume explores some possible outcomes of the recent increase in oil 

 prices. The study investigates the pattern of the future price structure of oil 

 and energy, the resulting flow of revenues to the OPEC countries, in par- 

 ticular to the Arab oil producing countries, and the implication of these 

 developments to the economic growth and foreign capital accumulation of the 

 Middle Eastern countHes on one hand and to the world economic, financial 

 and monetary structure on the other hand. Part 1 deals with the market for 

 energy and oil and derives scenarios with the emerging projections of oil 

 prices. Part 2 projects alternative levels of oil revenues to the oil-producing 

 countries and estimates the future economic growth of the Middle Eastern 

 countries and their accumulation of foreign capital. Part 3 discusses possible 

 investment strategies concerning the accumulated capital that may be 

 implemented by the Middle East oil-producing countries and analyzes the 

 implications of the world economy. 

 Broda, E. "Solar Power: The Photochemical Alternative." Bulletin of the Atomic 

 Scientists, v. 32, March 1976: 49-52. 



Billions of 3'ears ago nature developed the technique for converting sunlight 

 into chemical energy. If man could harness this energy as efficiently as the 

 plants do, he might find an ultimate solution to the energy crisis. Creation 

 of an international research institute would be a good first step in 

 this direction." 

 Brown, Rex B., Cameron R. Peterson, and Jacob W. Ulvila. "An Ayialysis of 

 Alternative Mideastern Oil Agreements." McLean Va. Decisions and Designs, 

 Inc. December 1975. 63 p. (Available from NTIS as AD-A025 079/5SL.) 

 This report describes an application of prescriptive decision analysis to a 

 problem of choosing between alternative U.S. foreign policy options. More 

 specificall}', the choice relates to possible agreements with a Mideastern 

 country which involve different degrees of U.S. political and economic 

 concessions in return for improved prospects for the supplj' of oil to the U.S. 

 The analysis described in this report involved the development and use of a 

 flexible decision model to evaluate three sharply different negotiating 

 strategies regarding a possible agreement with a Mideastern country. A 

 baseline option involved no change now or later in U.S. policies toward this 

 Mideastern country and was used primarily as a reference point for purposes 

 of comparison. A maximum option involved an agreement which went 

 most of the way toward what certain Mideastern countries want. The third 

 option was an intermediate strategy reflecting a moderate change in U.S. 

 policy which would be attractive to the Mideastern country, but not po- 

 litically difficult for the U.S. 



