(1) An average of 60 exploratory wells drilled from 1977-1982. 



(2) Seven fields discovered with initial commercial production 

 beginning in 1982 and peak production occurring in 1991 at a 

 rate of 560,000 barrels/day. 



(3) Acquisition or construction of offices, housing, and docks 

 beginning in 1977. 



(4) Construction of tanker, loading, oil storage, and camp facil- 

 ities beginning in 1979. 



(5) Construction of production platforms beginning in 1980; San 

 Francisco Bay shipyards may be the site of construction. 71 



Another report, written by Bob Waldrop, examines in very general 

 terms, potential impacts arising from 0CS development in the western 

 Gulf of Alaska. 72 Waldrop assumes that from 3.6-9.2 billion barrels of 

 oil will be recovered from the western Gulf. This estimate seems high 

 given USGS estimates for the entire State of Alaska. Nevertheless, 

 under this production assumption the report predicted that: 



(1) From 7 to 10 exploratory rigs will be used directly 

 employing 1,050 to 1,500 people. 



(2) The western Gulf will need 1.3 times the onshore facilities 

 required for the northern Gulf of Alaska. 



(3) Petroleum facilities will require 2,000 to 3,200 acres of 

 land. 



(U) Approximately 300 miles of pipeline will be constructed. 

 (5) Onshore staging areas will probably be located at existing 

 ports and airstrips. 



49 



