be desirable to initiate manpower training programs if employment of 

 local persons is desired. The alternative is an influx of trained 

 employees. However that will also have 'spin-off effect in other 

 industries and services. 



The impact of OCS employment on a county level has been 

 examined in two papers. Both Grigalunas and the CEQ determined OCS 

 employment levels in Bristol County, Massachusetts, which includes 

 the cities of Fall River and New Bedford. It should be noted that 

 even if oil is found on Georges Bank, the industry may not site any 

 facilities in Bristol County. Nonetheless it is interesting to look 

 at the estimates (Table 7). Both authors agree that more employment 

 occurs during the early stages of OCS development. The CEQ, however, 

 gives much higher estimates of the employment levels. The CEQ report 

 notes that OCS activities would add about nine percent to the employment 

 level by 1985, and about seven percent by 2000. These figures should 

 be used with care, because the production rate quoted by the CEQ is 

 several times higher than recent figures published by the USGS, 



Table 7 Estimates of Employment in OCS Activities in Bristol County, MA. 

 (Sources listed in table). 



Daily Employment level 



production 9th year after sale 24th year after sale 

 Source (1,000 bbl) Total Per 1 ,000 bbl Total Per 1 ,000 bbl 



31 



