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Rockland and Portland could lose about 60 percent and 30 

 percent, respectively, of revenues they would otherwise 

 gain with access to the Canadian zone. Lost access to 

 haddock and cod in the Canadian zone could cause Boston and 

 Gloucester to forego about $2 million otherwise available 

 in 1980. 



If vessels which would otherwise operate in the 

 Canadian zone shift their effort to the U.S. zone (as has 

 already occurred) there would be (and have been) spillover 

 effects on smaller vessel classes in terms of the erosion 

 of relative shares of landings from various stocks. Thus, 

 revenue losses forecast for some vessel classes would be 

 "made up" by effort transfers from the Canadian to the U.S. 

 zone, with resultant revenue transfers from smaller vessel 

 classes to larger ones. 



In addition, due to a reduced supply of raw fish from the 

 Canadian zone, processing plants in Maine and Massachusetts could 

 lose about $6.9 million 1980. Over half of this reduction 

 is associated with reduced redfish output, while one-third 

 is associated with reduced haddock landings by U.S. vessels 

 from the Canadian zone. About 112 full-time processing 

 jobs would be lost. This loss would also involve many more 

 part-time or seasonal jobs, an important source of supple- 

 mentary income to those in coastal areas. If such reduc- 

 tions in the processing sector were mitigated by imports of 



