5 



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1000 



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 2800 



0*- 100 



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 450H / 



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'population (P) 



948 



1956 



1968 



1978 



1988 



1998 



Figure 10. Simulation result of Hillsborough County model with constantly 

 increasing relative imported fuel price and a price jump in 1973 (Sipe et al 

 1979). 



on by the increased price 

 tually all other goods and 

 ing power of Hillsborough 

 the increased cost of law 

 "makes do" with less. 



of fuel, which in turn increased the price of vir- 



services. It not only included the reduced purchas- 



County's exports, but also included, for example, 



enforcement and other social services as the county 



A final simulation considered the impact of a drop in fossil fuel prices 

 due to a hypothetical technological innovation simulated to occur in 1983 

 (Figure 12). The principal result of this scenario is an 

 standard of living for residents of Hillsborough County. 



in 

 increase in 



the 



Although this particular scenario was assumed to result from a decreased 

 fossil fuel price, the same results would be expected to occur if, for 

 example, there were improvements in fuel efficiency and other energy conserva- 

 tion methods. In the actual study from which these simulations of Hills- 

 borough County were taken, recommendations were made as to which energy con- 

 servation techniques, from an energy flow standpoint, showed the greatest 

 promise and how those techniques might best be implemented. These recommenda- 

 tions addressed such subjects as land use, construction techniques, transpor- 

 tation, and others. 



326 



