VAKIOUS NATIONAL SOCIETIES. 

 Table Giving Crops for Three Seasons. 



125- 



1883. 



New Jersey. 118,524 



New England 141,964 



Wisconsin 135,507 



Totals 395,995 



1884. 



124,648 

 130,583 



1885. 



198,125 

 280,879 



24,783 264,432 



280,014 



743,436 



The following table exhibits the various stages of statistical work upon the 

 crop of 1885: 



New Jersey 



New England . . 

 Wisconsin, etc. 



■SO * 



*> a o 

 Si's 

 s » t. 



Sua 



38,706 



123,978 



57,747 



220,431 



As thus shown the shortages from October calculations are for New Jersey 

 16 per cent., New England 30 and Wisconsin 18 per cent., and upon the whole 

 23 per cent. Some part of this may, of course, be considered shrinkage and 

 .waste, but it confirms the statistician's apprehension, expressed at the time, 

 that the October calculation overstated the crop. 



Some have thought that the growers' reports, upon which the October calcu- 

 lations are based, naturally tend to overestimates, on the ground that those 

 having good crops will more generally report them than those having poor 

 ones. But as two years from each are required, this would seem to make but 

 little difference. Besides the October calculations have sometimes understated 

 the crop. 



In 1881 the August estimate of the New Jersey crop was 130,000 bushels. 

 The October calculation made it 114,598, and the movement in the end made 

 it 124,618. 



At the annual meeting in Jauuary, 1885, the movement to January 1, taken 

 from the October calculation of the New Jersey crop, indicated only 9,006 

 bushels then remaining in the hands of growers. But the members present 

 figured up and located 12,500 bushels, and the subsequent movement showed 

 that the unmoved stock must, at that time, have been over 19,000 bushels. 



On the contrary, at the last annual meeting, the movement to January 1, 

 1886, taken from the October calculation of the New Jersey crop, showed 

 109,810 bushels unmoved, which the report set down as nearly incredible. The 

 members present figured up and located 45,125 bushels, but the subsequent 

 actual movement showed that there must have been over 71,000 bushels un- 

 moved at that time. 



