160 



THE INDIA RUBBER WORLD 



l)iai:Mi)tn 1, 1920 



UNITED STATES CRUDE RUBBER CONSUMPTION 

 INTHE DIVISIONS OF MANUFACTURE 



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Having in view the fact of the proposed curtailment in pro- 

 duction advocated by the Rubber Growers' Association of Lon- 

 don, in which they advise a 25 per cent cut in production until 

 present surplus stocks have been absorbed — a measure already in 

 partial operation, I introduce Table VI and Graph E, which Jake 

 into account the Zorn acreages with the 25 per cent reduction 

 applied. In the last column I have made a forecast of America's 

 imports, placing them on an average at 65 per cent of the pro- 

 duction as modified by the curtailment figures. 



Table VI 



Forecast of Propuction and American Imports 



(Pounds in millions; OOO's omitled) 



Zorn Total Production Produc- Production American 



Acres Acreage Pounds tion I-ess Imports 



<al (a) (c) Tons 25% (d) 



1919 2,450,000 2,450,000 855,366 381,860 286,390 226,032 



(b) 



1920 180,000 2,360,000 920.500 410.940 256.000 231,000 



1921 1^0,000 2,790,000 976,500 436,000 327,000 229,000 



1922 160,000 2.950,000 1,032.500 461,000 34S.O00 242.000 



1923 200,000 3,150,000 1,102,500 492,000 .169.000 258,000 • 



1924 200,000 3,350,000 1,162,500 519,000 390,000 273,000 



fa) Acres in bearing at years given. 



(b) Increases in acreages. 



(c) Basis of 350 pounds per acre. 



(d) Based on America taking 65 per cent of prodtiction. 



PRODUCTION AND IMPORT FORECAST 



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queslioiiiiaire divided the industry into two heads— "Tires and 

 Tire Sundries" and "Other Rubber Products." .\lthough nearly 

 every rubber manufacturer was thus addressed, replies were re- 

 ceived from by no means all and therefore the results did not 

 disclose the entire story. In 1917, during the war, the United 

 States Government made a very complete canvass of the situation, 

 covering practically the same ground. At that time nearly every 

 manufacturer replied to the questionnaire and the result shows 

 that, assuming the United States figures to be correct, the amounts 

 quoted by The Rubber Association as a result of its limited can- 

 vass are but 87 per cent of the truth. I assume for the purposes 

 of estimation, also from the limited number of replies received 

 by the association, that its figures for 1918 and 1919 are but 87 

 per cent of the total, and produce Table IV, and Graph D. 



On June 24, 1920, Zorn and Leigh-Hunt of London made an 

 analysis of the world's rubber position which they called "The 

 Coming Rubber Shortage." In this they exhibit the following 

 table of producing rubber acreages : 



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RaTi; Materials, in its September, 1920, issue, gives an interesting 

 and instructive review of the rubber situation, more especially 

 with respect to its bearing upon automobiles and tires. On page 

 117 it produces a table that is applicable to the study in question 

 and I therefore reproduce it in part : 



