TiiE Gkowth of thk Nativk Races of Cafk Colony. l*55 



European population of 20,000 was 2454, increasing with considerable 

 regularity from 8-70 per 1000 per annum in 1900 to 25*65 in 1906, 

 the figures for the seven years giving an average of 17 "52 ; while on an 

 "other than European" population of 30,000 it was only 1358, or an 

 average of 646 per 1000 per annum. He adds : "The most noticeable 

 fact brought out by these tables is the marketl and increasing vitality 

 of the European race, its excess of net increase by vitality over the 

 other races having been 1096 in the heptade. Thus, slxjuld the 

 registered births amongst natives in the rural districts be approxi- 

 mately complete, it follows that here the European race is tending 

 by natural increase towards numerical equality and subsequent pre- 

 dominance over the other races at the rate of 11 "06 units per mille 

 per annum." But the whole calculation and the conclusion hinges 

 on this "if," and there can be no doubt that Dr. Anderson's evident 

 doubts on this score are well founded. During the same year, 1906, in 

 the neighbouring district of Keiskama Hoek, where the conditions are 

 very similar to those obtaining in the rural areas of the East London 

 district, the assistant resident magistrate and deputy registrar of births 

 and deaths reported that only 326 deaths and 383 births in an esti- 

 mated native population of 30,000 had been registered ; he estimates 

 that the total births were at least 800 or 900 per annum, so that only 

 about one out of three was registered. In the census year, in Pondo- 

 land, with a population of 201,112, only 769 "other than European" 

 births were registered. In the largely European centres of population 

 in the colony, although the registration of native births and deaths 

 is more complete, the native population is living under, so to speak, 

 abnormal conditions, and is, as a rule, largely affected by migration ; 

 also, especially in the labour centres, there is an altogether excessive pro- 

 portion of native male adults. Except under special circumstances — as 

 in a few mission stations — no statistics of native births and deaths 

 which can safely be used for comparative calculations are available. 

 Trustworthy figures as to the growth of the native population cannot 

 be ascertained otherwise than from the census returns. 



Rate of Natural Increase op Europeans. 



During the thirteen years 1891 to 1904 the European population 

 increased by 202,754, or, deducting the Europeans residing in Pondo- 

 land and Bechuanaland in 1904, in which divisions there was no 

 previous census, by 192,454, a percentage increase of 51*05, or an 

 "actual" increase at the rate of 32*23 per 1000 per annum. Records 

 of arrivals and departures from Cape ports are kept by the Customs 

 Department, but in these children under sixteen are only reckoned as 

 fractional parts of an adult. On this basis, the gain by migration 

 during the intercensal period was 163,289. But the great majority of 

 these immigrants have not remained in the colony ; the census report 

 estimated that only about 12 per cent, of them did so, the remaining 

 88 per cent, going to the inland States ; these figures can, however, 

 only be approximate. In the census report, taking the excess of 



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