Table 11. — Labor market participation potential of target groups I-IV. 



'Those having marketable skills. 



^Those havmg no skill but less than 35 years of age. 



^Those having no skill and in the age bracket 35-65 years. 



''Students and those over 65 years. 



Source: University of Maine Survey Data, 1970. 



be capable of participating in a training pro- 

 gram. Admittedly, this is only a first approxi- 

 mation. 



The category "potential hard-core unemploy- 

 ed" includes those fishermen who have no 

 marketable skills other than lobstering and 

 who fall into the critical age bracket by labor 

 market criteria, 35-65. In all likelihood, these 

 individuals, if excluded from lobstering, will 

 find it extremely hard to make any vocational 

 readjustment. 



The last category, "not in the labor force" 

 is self-explanatory. This includes those fisher- 

 men who are either students or over 65 years 

 of age and are not likely to participate in 

 the labor market as active job seekers, barring 

 purely part-time or seasonal jobs. 



It should be emphasized that the above 

 classification is only a preliminary step in 

 identifying the differences in labor market 

 participation potential of various subgroups 

 within each of the target groups. To be sure, 

 potential employability, trainability, and hard- 

 core unemployability require considerably 

 more in depth analysis than was possible in 

 the present study. 



It is apparent from Table 11 that a sub- 

 stantial proportion of the fishermen in each 

 of the target groups is potentially employable 

 (ranging from 35% to 67%). Of those who are 

 classified under "potentially employable," some 

 already have full-time jobs and others have 

 marketable skills. However, Target Groups 

 II and III are likely to result in more hard- 

 core unemployment. Paradoxically, the group 



that has a high earnings/effort ratio (Target 

 Group IV) also happens to be the one with a 

 relatively larger proportion of potential em- 

 ployability. With the exception of this group, 

 other groups include several fishermen not 

 in the labor force, students, and those 65 years 

 and over. The question of their employability 

 is, therefore, irrelevant in the present context. 

 In analyzing the expected socioeconomic 

 impact of limited entry, the survey data on 

 each of the fishermen in each of the target 

 groups were examined in depth by communi- 

 ties. In this investigation, attention was focus- 

 ed on such socioeconomic variables as age, 

 family size, level of education, types of skill, 

 alternative job experience, alternative source 

 of income, and so on. On the basis of informa- 

 tion from survey data combined with informa- 

 tion on local labor market. Table 12 is recon- 

 structed to reflect the differences in labor 

 market participation potential by communities. 



Income Effect and Expected 

 Socioeconomic Impact 



To perform the necessary analysis, the 

 following procedures were adopted: 



1. Assume each target group to be a candi- 

 date for exclusion from lobstering. 



2. Estimate private loss of gross income due 

 to non-participation in lobster fishery. 



3. Assume that 50% of the lost gross income 

 would be subsequently earned by the re- 

 maining fishermen. The survey date did 



169 



