for Japan", of 22 September 1945, which reads: "Japan shall be permitted 

 eventually to resome normal trade relationa with the rest of the world 

 diirii^ occupation and under suitable controls. Japan will be permitted 

 to purchase from foreign countries raw materials and other goods that it 

 may need for peaceful purposes, and to export goods to pay for approved 

 imports." 



- 5. CONCLUSIONS ON REHABILITATION 



a. Japan, in the forseeable future, may reasonably look forward 

 to no more than a partial revival of its former manufactural exports. 

 Because of reduced exports, the loss of colonies, and the loss of shipping 

 and foreign investments, raw materials imports are likely to be less than 

 they were in prewar years. Because the population has increased since 1939, 

 raw material imports may be considerably less per capita than before. 

 While Japan should be mindful of all possibilities for increasing manu- 

 factural exports by developing new and superior products, Japanese states- 

 men, scientists, and business men will nave to examine additional possi- 

 bilities for improvements in the lot of their countrymen". Possibilities 

 will include, among others: 



(1) Development of higher yielding staple crops 



(2) Substitution of domestically produced raw materials for 

 imported, wherever practical 



(3) Elimination of raw material waste in manufacturing 



(4) Careful attention to conservation of resources / 



(5) Attention to synthetically produced, as constrasted with 

 nsiturally produced, materials 



(6) Examination of the means for reducing the rate of popu- 

 lation growth 



b. Among all that is indistinct in Japan's future, one thing is 

 clear: the achievement of any substantial improvement in the Japanese 

 standard of living will come only from many-sided effort. Japan has had 

 two periods in its recent history, one in which it looked exclusively 

 inward, and the other in which it looked primarily outward. Now it must 

 do both, but hopes will best be placed on technical improvement and adap- 

 tation to the limitations of the resources on its islands. For Japan, 

 more than at any time since Commodore Perry's visit, will have to live at 

 home. Occupational policy may be planned on that constant, at, least, and 

 it should recognize that Japan's future lies in cultivation of physical 

 science, social science, and the arts of engineering and planning. 



51 



