38 



area are capable of cultivation ; then if 

 her population increases at her present 

 rate of 1'96 per cent, per year, it would be 

 so vast in 119 years (763 million persons) 

 that the produce of every available acre 

 would be wholly required for home con- 

 sumption. The checks to population, 

 however, may be expected to increase, 

 and this limit may be placed further back ; 

 but it is clear that the need to withdraw, 

 more and more, her present enormous 

 export of raw products from external 

 markets will greatly operate in enhancing 

 the value of the virgin soils of the more 

 distant Australasia, and so give an 

 additional spur to her development in the 

 coming years. 



PROBABLE GROWTH OF POPULATION IN 

 TASMANIA DURING THE NEXT CENTURY. 



Turning our attention now to the future, 

 and assuming that the annual rate of 

 growth of population during the last 

 decade (1'64) will be maintained without 

 any material change throughout the next 

 100 years, the following table has been 

 prepared by me showing the estimated 

 population m single years for the first ten, 

 and thereafter in intervals of ten years. 

 The population of the Commonwealth is 



given for comparison at intervals of ten 

 years. The annual rate assumed by me 

 for the determination of the latter is 

 taken at 1*73 per cent. 



ESTIMATED POPULATION DURING THE NEXT 

 100 YEARS. 



Tasmania's 

 Year. Tasmania. Common- Per Cent, 

 wealth. Proportion. 



1902 177,077 3,883,822 4.56 



1903 179,981 



1904 182,933 



1905 185,933 



1906 188,982 



1907 192,082 



1908 195,232 



1909 198,434 



1910 201,688 4,455,037 4.53 

 1920 2.37,316 5,288,607 



1930 279,238 6,278,144 



1940 328,565 7,452,832 



1950 386,609 8,847,310 4.37 



1960 454,899 10,502,700 



1970 535,256 12,467,800 



1980 629,809 14,800,610 



1990 741,069 17,570,000 



2000 871,971 20,857,405 



2001 886,273 21,218,208 



2002 900,810 21,585,350 4.17 



