319 



Note that Scenarios 2 and 4 assume an 800-megawatt forced outage reserve, the high end of the 

 range identified by the Bonneville witnesses. Scenarios 3 and 5 both assume a 600-megawan 

 forced outage reserve, based on the figure in the 1992 Loads and Resources Study. 



TABLE 2 



ADJUSTING THE ANNUAL VALUE OF DSI RESERVES 



RANGE OF LIKELY DOLLAR IMPACTS 



* Average Annual Impact 



The impact column shows the range of final adjustments that would be made to the annual DSI 

 credit (discount). The larger the number, the more the credit would be reduced. 



The adjustments would therefore produce a range of likely impacts between $15 (Scenario la) 

 and $41 million (Scenario 5b) in higher DSI revenue and commensurate decreases in priority firm 

 customer revenues. 



The total value of reserves ~ using the current Bonneville assumptions - is $1 17,592,140 in FY 

 1994 and $121,296,300 in FY 1995, according to Table 37 in Bonneville's Documentation for 

 the 7(b)(2) Test Study, page 121. The average is therefore $119,444,220. 



To calculate the DSI share of this value, the total is divided by two (to reflect the "share the 

 savings" approach adopted by Bonneville in the 1985 VCR analysis.) Thus, the DSI value of 

 reserves in FY 1994-95 is $59,722,110. 



A-21 



