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back and compare the accepted projections of catastrophic losses to what actually occiured, it is 

 surprising that although direct timber job loss did occur, the total number of jobs in the county 

 did not drop, unemployment rates did not rise relative to the state as a whole, and overall the 

 local economy continued to grow. These results are true even after the number of jobs is 

 reduced to account for overall population growth. Figure three below compares the projected 

 jobs losses for Humboldt county based on the employment multipliers greater than 23 that 

 calculated for die economy of the 1970s widi the actual trend after correcting it for population 

 growth. As the figure illustrates, the loss of timber jobs that began in 1 977 (due to both a 

 slowdown in construction and the park expansion) (fid not have the expected effect of dragging 

 the rest of the economy down. Equally significant, when harvests doubled from 1982 to 1987, 

 the number of timber jobs increased by less than 20%. Qeari^, timbo' onployment is no 

 longer the primary drivo- of die local economy. 



Headwaters Forest Act Testimony, William Stewart, October 13,1993 



