FEED OUTLOOK LESS OFm-lISTIC THAN A MONTH AGO 

 By L, F, Stlce, Extenelon Marketing Specialist 



The November 1 U.S.DJA. crop estimate paints a much less optimistic picture 

 of feed supplies for the ensuing feeding Reason than does the Octoher 1 report. The 

 estimate of the 19^15 Illinois com crop was reduced from kl^ to i<-05 million "bushels. 

 For the U.S. as a whole, 19^5 com production is estimated to "be 5,07^ million bushels 

 compared vlth 5,228 million "bushels in 19^4-^, Ohio and Indiana alone of the ten prin- 

 cipal corn-producing states will raise more com than in 19^^+. Moreover, the recent 

 report indicates that 87 percent of this yearns crop will be harvested for grain com- 

 pared with 90 percent of the I9UU crop. 



«•. 

 Because of the larger carry-over of old feed grains and the large oat crop, 

 the supply of feed grains for each grain- consuming animal unit is now estimated to 

 be ,93 ton compared with .90 ton a year ago and .88 ton for the 1958-19^2 average 

 (see chart). The feed supply outlook is not bo favorable, however,- as these data 

 might indicate. The dire need for human food in the European and Mediterraneeui coun- 



\ \^ tries will result in reduced imports 



of grains from Canada and increased 

 exports of U,S, wheat and possibly 

 some feed grains to our former alllea 

 Industrial demand for corn in this 

 country will continue to exceed avail- 

 able supplies. Conservative use of 

 marketable com and other feed con- 

 centrates is recommended. Deficit 

 feed areas in Illinois will undoubt- 

 edly find it difficult to buy corn 

 before another crop is harvested. 



Tons 



1.00 -. 



.75 - 



FEED GRAIN SUPPLY PER ANIMAL UNIT 

 .1938-191+2 av,, and 19*^2-191+5 



.50 - 



.25 L 



1938-19^2 191+2 191^3 19^^ 19^5 



av. 



Year beginning Oct. 1 



11/15 A^ 



"--. 



^ 



