GENERAL FARM PROGRAM 91 



Mr. Andresen. I mean, in making your determination of the 

 acreage allotment for the 1950 crop. 



Mr. Walker. Yes. 



Mr. Andresen. It is based upon the 1949 production; is that right? 



Mr. Walker. That is right. Take the figure of 3.5 billion bushels 

 for 1949 and add the 700 million bushels carry-over gives a total 

 supply of about 4.2 billion bushels — I believe that is correct. 



The first thing we must do is to determine the cany-over that we 

 will have at the end of the 1949-50 marketing year out of the total sup- 

 ply of 4.2 billion bushels. When you get that carry-over you w^ould 

 then estimate the quantity that will disappear as exports and as 

 domestic consumption. That would run somewhere around 3.1 

 billion bushels. Then you deduct that 3.1 billion bushels from the 

 4.2 billion bushels and you would get the carry-over. That would 

 indicate a carry-over of 1.1 billion bushels as of October 1, 1950. 

 Now, we have a carry-over supply of 1.1 billion bushels already avail- 

 able for the marketing year 1950-51; that available supply will not 

 have to be produced. 



The reserve supply level would be in the neighborhood of about 

 3.4 billion bushels. From this we deduct the carry-over of 1.1 billion 

 bushels and get a figure of 2.3 billion bushels — which is the amount of 

 corn that needs to be produced. 



Now, deducting from that amount about 800 million bushels, 

 normally produced outside the commercial area, gives us 1.5 billion 

 bushels that need to be produced in the commercial area. 



You divide that 1.5 billion bushels by the average yield in the com- 

 mercial area, adjusted for trends, of about 41.5 bushels per acre and 

 the result would be the indicated allotment needed in the commercial 

 area. 



Mr. Andresen. I know it is complicated, and it is a little hard to 

 understand, and that is why I tried to use figures in my illustration. 

 Now, under your illustration, you say they will produce 800,000,000 

 bushels outside the commercial area? 



Mr. Walker. Yes. 



Mr. Andresen. As you know, there is a great opportunity to in- 

 3rease the corn production outside the commercial corn area? 



Mr. W^ALKER. Yes. 



Mr. Andresen. In my own home county, which borders on the 

 Mississippi River in Minnesota, just across the river is some veiy 

 good hard maple land, that can produce just as good or probably more 

 corn than we can, on our side of the river,- in the commercial growing 

 area, and they have been increasing their corn production. 



Now do 3^011 take into consideration impi-ovements in seed, and facil- 

 ities, and methods of raising corn outside the commercial corn area? 



Mr. W^ALKER. Yes, that is correct. 



Mr. Andresen. And also the production of corn outside the com- 

 mercial area? 



Mr. Walker. Yes. 



Mr. Andresen. What was the production of corn outside the com- 

 mercial area for the 1948 crop year? 



Mr. W^alker. For 1948—1 cannot give you that. Production has 

 to be broken down by counties, for the commercial area^ — ■ — 



Mr. Andresen. How does that figure? 



Mr. W^alker. I can give vou that for 1947. 



