THE AXOLO-SAXOX AND THE WOULD S FUTURE. 2l3 



twenty years the ratio was decidedly higher, because of 

 a large immigration. It fell oft" during the war, and 

 again arose from 1870 to 1880, while it seems to have 

 fallen from 1880 to 1890. i 



If the rate of increase for the next century is as great 

 with immigration as it was from 1800 to 1840 without 

 immigration, we shall have a falling ratio of increase of 

 about one per cent, every ten years. Beginning, then, 

 with an increase of twenty-four per cent, from 1890 to 

 1900, our population in 1990 would be 373,000,000, making 

 the total Anglo-Saxon population of the world, at that 

 time, 667,000,000, as compared with 570,000,000 inhabi- 

 tants of continental Europe. When we consider how 

 ranch more favorable are the conditions for the increase 

 of population in Anglo-Saxon countries than in con- 

 tinental Europe, and remember that we have reckoned 

 the growth of European population at its rate of. 

 increase from 1870 to 1880, while we have reckoned Anglo- 

 Saxon growth at much less than its rate of increase 

 during the same ten years, we may be reasonably 

 confidont that a hundred years hence this one race w^ll 

 outnumber all the peoples of continental Europe. And 

 it is possible that, by the close of the next centmy, the 

 Anglo-Saxons will outnumber all the other civilized 

 races of the world. Does it not look as if God were not 



1 It should be remembered, however, that great populations do not show 

 sudden chanj^es in the rate of increase without such causes as war, anarchy, 

 pestilence , famine or great migrations. No such cause has been operative 

 with us during the past ten years, except a great immigration, which would 

 of course raise the rate of increase. It is, therefore, hardly credible that our 

 ratio of increase fell five and a half per cent, during that period. Still less 

 likely is it that, conditions remaining substantially the same from 1870 to 

 1890, the rate of increase could have risen so rapidly during the first half of 

 the period, and then have fallen so rapidly during the last half. The 

 explanation is to be found in the Census of 1870. which General Francis A. 

 Walker, the superintendent, says was "grossly defective." As the returns 

 of that census were undoubtedly too small there was no .such rise in the rate 

 of increase from 1870 to 1880 and, therefore, no such fall in that rate from 

 1880 to 1890 as the above figures indicate. The superintendent of the late 

 census says " there is but little question that the population in 1870 was at 

 least 40.0;)0.000," which would make the rate of increase froin 1870 to 1880 not 

 far from '25 per cent, or about the same as from 1880 to 1890. 



