38 EFFECT OF THE RECALL [1812. 



conciliatory firmness than by absolute concession, 

 which will invite further encroachment, and at last 

 bring you, as the Russians will be brought, to a point 

 where, nolens volenx, a stand must be made. I am quite 

 CERTAIN that, the Orders repealed in the way they are, 

 the Government in America will be obliged to yield, 

 whatever show they may at first make ; and as I 

 believe the other concessions required (especially the 

 search for seamen) to be such as we should not make, 

 it is even the safest course for the manufacturers (con- 

 sidering their interest in the narrowest sense) here to 

 stand by the Government. This is my view of the 

 case. If you should concur with me, your advice 

 may be of great service, and give a tone where you 

 now are. I do not think Maddison could support his 

 war, or keep his ports closed, one fortnight after our 

 repeal reaches America. I confidently expect that no 

 attempt ever will be made. An embargo, you will 

 see, has taken place ; which, upon the whole, I think 

 fair. AYe must not appear frightened, but at such a 

 period we should have a minister of the very first 

 power in America; not to plan foolish projects to 

 dismember the Union, but to take care that the people 

 are properly and plausibly informed of the intentions of 

 his Government, &c. &c. It would indeed be a treasure 

 in such a time if Government had sense enough to tempt 

 you to their assistance, but I fear they will go on 

 without change. You will see the ' Morning Chron- 

 icle ' abuses Maddison's paper. I think it is a good 

 performance, and not too querulous for an enumera- 

 tion of grievances, which it professes to be. Nor do 

 I think the Americans were wrong in striking their 

 blow; they had waited many months for different 



