Tablo 10. (Ihaiiges in Total Livestock, Total Farm Work, 



and Total Acres in Farming from Pre- to Post-Construction 



Under "Actual" and "Optimum" Conditions 



Lrea 



Total Livestock 

 Actual Optimum 



Total Annual Man Hours 

 Actual Optimum 



Total Acres 

 Actual Optimum 



I.anrl brought into use under the "optimum" assumptions as compared 

 to the ''actual assumptions was much greater under pre- than under post- 

 construction conditions. The additions to land in agricultural use under pre- 

 construction conditions was almost ten times the addition under post- 

 construction conditions in the Franklin Falls area. For Blackwater. the ratio 

 was more than 30 to 1; for MacDowell, IMi to 1; and for Surry Mountain, 

 more than 3 to 1. All but a small percentage of the land added under pre- 

 construction comparisons was pasture. In the post-construction comparisons, 

 pasture still accounted for about half the net addition. 



In the pre-construction period, individual holdings included substantial 

 acreages of unused land ( unused for agriculture, i.e., brush and woodland 

 pasture, hayland, etc. ) . In the post-construction period, operators had the 

 opportunity to lease tracts as they saw fit and to delineate boundaries. This 

 meant they could pick out the better portions of one or more tracts. Where 

 leased tracts were being used rather fully, as in the Blackwater and Franklin 

 Falls areas, the shift from "actual" to "optimum" assumptions decreased the 

 percentage which post-construction acreage was of pre-construction acreage. 

 In MacDowell and Surry Mountain, where leased tracts were not fully used, 

 the reverse happened. 



For Franklin Falls. MacDowell. and Surry Mountain, better use of a 

 smaller acreage under "optimum" conditions resulted in smaller percentage 

 declines in output ( as measured by either livestock numbers or man hours 

 from the pre- to post-construction periods than under "actual" conditions. 

 With Blackwater, however, the proportion and amount of idle farmland 

 in the pre-construction period was so great that its inclusions in use raised 

 "optimum" pre-construction output sufficiently so that the reverse happened. 



Percentage declines in output, as measured by livestock numbers and 

 man hours, were relatively consistent for "actual" and "optimum" condi- 

 tions for MacDowell and Surry Mountain, and for "optimum" conditions for 

 Blackwater. For "actual" conditions for Blackwater and for "optimum" and 

 "actual" conditions for Franklin Falls, total man hours declined relatively 

 more than livestock numbers. For Franklin Falls, this results primarily from 

 the relatively greater shift to using land resources for young stock than for 

 milk cows, but also in part from the decline in orchards, vegetables, and 

 potatoes. For Blackwater, the difference is largely due to the d(?cline in 

 small fruits, orchards, and potatoes. 



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