During the period, downward adjustments in livestock numbers were rela- 

 tively less for the Blackwater and Surry Mountain reservoir towns than for 

 the adjacent towns. Adjustments for Franklin Falls and MacDowell reservoir 

 towns were relatively greater than for the adjacent towns. However, from 

 the three-year period preceding construction to the three-year period fol- 

 lowing, all four groups of reservoir towns showed a greater relative decline 

 in livestock numbers than the corresponding groups of nearby towns. This 

 relationship is shown in Table 15. The differences in long-term trends in 

 livestock numbers in both groups could be attributed, to some extent, to 

 heterogeneous sample areas. 



B. Reservoir vs. Non-Reservoir Lands in Reservoir Towns 



The pre- to post-construction shifts determined on the basis of town totals 

 obscure the total effects of the projects on the reservoir land component 

 itself. This effect might arise from the disruption or suspension of normal 

 activity, actual work on some areas, or uncertainty regarding both property 

 acquisition or possible future use of the area. 



In Table 16, data for reservoir towns are separated into livestock numbers 

 supported by reservoir and non-reservoir lands. These data show greater 

 relative declines for the reservoir lands. Present livestock numbers sup- 

 ported by reservoir lands range from 22 percent of pre-construction for Surry 

 Mountain, to 56 percent for Blackwater. On the other hand, present livestock 

 numbers supported by non-reservoir lands range from 67 percent for Franklin 

 Falls, to 82 percent for Surry Mountain. 



1200 - 



900 - 



600 - 



300 - 



1935 



1940 



1945 



1950 



Figure 3. Number of taxable roughage-coiisuniiiig livestock, 1935-53, 

 in MacDowell and Surrv Mountain areas. 



31 



