Table 8. Low gross agricultural income expected to be earned 



by resources idled by the Soil Bank Program, compared to 



Soil Bank Payments, 19S9 and 1960-72 



* Represents no change in income flow into the County. Hay sales are inter-farm 

 transactions within the County. Agricultural Conservation payments are determined 

 institutionally and do not necessarily change in total for the County. 



Discussion of the Models 



The high- and low-income estimates refer to synthesized anticipated in- 

 comes from resources involved on units now enrolled in the Soil Bank. 

 This assumes also that these resources had not been enrolled in the Soil 

 Bank and that economic forces were allowed to influence resource use and 

 output. The high estiinate assumes resources enrolled were average for 

 the County and the low estimate assumes that resources were substantial- 

 ly below average for the County. A careful examination of the resources 

 enrolled in the Program and discussed earlier in this study indicates that 

 as a group the enrolled resources could not be considered above the aver- 

 age quality. This conclusion is drawn, even though some resources were 

 of highest quality. 



The comparison of gross income potentials indicates that gross farm in- 

 come would fall by slightly less than $25,000 for the year 1959 because of 

 enrollment in the Program. In the following years, gross farm income is 

 estimated to average either $22,000 less or $14,000 more per year then 

 it would have had there been no Program. 



26 



