128 



THE TREND OF THE RACE 



Fertility of Foreign Born Stocks in the United States 



Italians 4 



Bohemians 5 



Finns 5 



Russians 5 



French-Canadians . 5 



EngUsh-Canadians . 3 



Poles 6 



9 Norwegians 4 



Austrians 4 



3 French 4 



4 Germans 4 



6 Irish 4 



5 Swedes 4 



2 Scotch 3 



EngUsh 3 



The peoples from southern and central Europe show a higher 

 fecundity than those from Great Britain and the northern part 

 of the continent. For most cases this is true of the second genera- 

 tion of foreigners as well as the first. Mr. Hill who worked over 

 the data referred to grants that in the southern states the families 

 of the American born may be of larger size. It is questionable, 

 however, if they would be enough larger to make good the losses 

 through death. 



When we consider that with our present death and marriage 

 rates nearly four children per married couple are required to 

 replace the preceding generation, we are compelled to conclude 

 that, taken as a whole, the stock represented by American born 

 parents is probably not reproducing itself. It is the aliens and 

 their immediate children who are responsible for the increase of 

 our population. If these were deducted from our numbers we 

 would probably see that the population of the United States 

 would show an actual decrease. Among the people we commonly 

 call Americans race suicide would probably be found to be con- 

 siderably more rapid than in France. 



We are losing such stock as is represented by the Mayflower 

 descendants, the first families of Virginia, and the daughters 

 of the revolution. New England, once so prolific in typical 

 American manhood and womanhood, is now largely filled up with 

 recent immigrants and their children. Recently in connection 

 with one of my students, Miss C. M. Doud, I have been studying 

 the decline of the birth rate in one important group of American 



