OUTTUEN AS INDICATION OF PEOGEESS 43 

 Average Outturn of Clean Cotton 'per acre in 



Gujarat and 



Kathiawar. 



lbs. 



1910-11 85 



Similar, though smaller, variations occur in the 

 area sown to any particular crop in a given tract from 

 year to year. In bad years large areas lie unsown, 

 and large substitutions of one crop for another are 

 made by the cultivator at the last moment, in accord- 

 ance with the distribution of the rainfall. In this 

 way the area sown to a particular crop may be 

 double or half what it was in the previous year in 

 a particular locality. It will, doubtless, be recognised 

 that in a tract where fluctuations amounting to 500 

 per cent, in the outturn and 1000 per cent, in the 

 export of produce are liable to occur as a result of 

 purely seasonal causes, any progress due to improved 

 methods, which might well be regarded as striking 

 if it amounted to 25 per cent, in the course of ten 

 years, is very effectively masked. How then are we 

 to judge of any movement that may be taking place ? 

 It is only by indirect methods that we can form any 



