122 



It is scarcely to be calculated that the same recur- 

 rence of circumstances, propitious to the Agricul- 

 tural prosperity of the lands on the border of t<;c> 

 Vistula, should again present itself. Neither t< > 

 demands of France or England are likely to be vv 

 great, or to continue for so loiig a period, as at that 

 time. It is scarcely to be calculated upon, that 

 future wars will be so long in duration, or spread over 

 so extensive a field of operations, as those which re. > 

 out of the Revolution of France; and it is thereiV..v 

 not likely that the quantity exported will ever ris 

 so great an amount. Whatever stimulus may be 

 applied to excite the agricultural improvement of the 

 banks of the Vistula, its effect must be weak ar.d 

 powerless, when compared with the excitement it 

 received from 1791 to 1805. 



If w T e suppose the Cost of Wheat to the grower in 

 the vicinity of Warsaw, to be about 28.?. per quarter, 

 and all the Expenses of Conveyance to our markets 

 to be 20,9. more, and that it could be sold here for 

 6'0.9. or 64--S'. we may presume that such a stimulus 

 would produce great exertions, and a correspondent 

 increase of supply ; some abatement in the force of 

 that stimulus would be probably felt in an increase of 

 freight, and other charges, but the prospect of a profit 

 of 12s. or 14*. would give a powerful impulse to cul- 

 tivation. What is here stated, is upon the supposi- 

 tion, of course a mere supposition, that no duty would 

 be imposed on Foreign Wheat on its introduction 

 hi to this kingdom. Supposing a duty should be 

 imposed, it will of course weaken the force of the 

 stimulus ; and if it should be so high, as, when added 

 to the costs and charges, to raise it above the price at 

 which it could be sold in our markets, it would become 

 a repellant instead of a stimulus, especially if it should 

 be viewed as a permanent enactment. 



If a Duty in this country of 10*. or 12-y. per quarter 

 was imposed, it would not allow of such a profit, on 



