182 A Century of Science 



quite as strong as that between Scotland and Eng- 

 land to-day. Toward so desirable a consummation 

 a permanent policy of arbitration must surely 

 tend. 



The fact that deliberate public opinion in both 

 countries can be counted upon as strongly adverse 

 to war is the principal fact which makes such a 

 permanent policy feasible. It is our only sufficient 

 guarantee that the awards of the international 

 tribunal will be respected. These considerations 

 need to be borne in mind, if we try to speculate 

 upon the probable influence upon other nations 

 of a successful system of arbitration between the 

 United States and Great Britain. Upon the con- 

 tinent of Europe a considerable interest seems 

 already to have been felt in the treaty, and, as I 

 observed above, its working is sure to be carefully 

 watched ; for the states of Europe are suffering 

 acutely from the apparent necessity of keeping per- 

 petually prepared for war, and any expedient that 

 holds out the slightest chance of relief from such 

 a burden cannot fail to attract earnest attention. 



The peoples of Europe are not unfamiliar with 

 the principles of arbitration. Indeed, like many 

 other good things which have loomed up conspicu- 

 ously in recent times, arbitration can be traced 

 back to the ancient Greeks, for whom it occasion- 



