59c 

 Dr« Leona Baumgartner #3 



zm 



1. Engineering work required for dredging, irrigat- 

 ing and flood control; the capital and operating costs of 

 such work; and the anticipated benefits us a function of 

 time. 



2. The possibilitios of incroaHing ai;ricultural 

 pro'luction through such mi^asurcn as incre.ised double 

 cropping; bringing new lau'Is unvter cultivation, and increas- 

 ing yields from existing so.vn areas. 



3. Factors causing the present very low productivi- 

 ty including: too such or too little '.ntcr; inadequate 

 fertilizer; inadequate po^^t control; poor seed varlties; 

 prloltive agricultural practices; economic constraints on 

 the farsaers, jsuch as marketing, credit, rind land tenure 

 pattern, uncertainties of harvciting, etc. 



-1, Present and tuturo ileaand:; for a.^^ri cultural pro- 

 ducts. 



5. Coaipar:jt ive eva tuition of ^orfbibie returns on 

 inv^i:itir.ents in ;i£;riculture and intu.'itry. 



6. nequirementK for dcvrjlopctent of trans;iortatlon. 



7. Uses of tho abund mt natural gas. 



8. DeiBO.grapJtic factors influencing Invostment 

 choices, such as rural un ier-ea;>loyment , possibilities for 

 urbanization, and rural over-crcv;dini; due to continued 

 population growth. 



9. Ueccm."nendation3 ooncc;raing the sequence of in- 

 vcsttaent.s for agricultural and industrial •-Icvelopmont , and 

 estimates of costs and benefits as a function ox tiae. 



You will realize tJ'.at tbo abuvo prosiioctug for in 

 East Pakistan analysis is based en inadequate information. 

 The problea mir.ht look quite different whoa one gets into 

 it. Ho.vevcr, the notes .^xivcn abjve indicate the kind of 

 approach tli:it a laulti-di Hoiplinary group night si.art .vith. 

 I estimate the cost of such an analysis, v^ould be about 

 ^300,000. It could be undertaken in any large university 

 v.hich has coaperent '.lejjartajcnts of agricuiture, oconooics 

 and other social sciencos, and engineering. The time 

 reciuired >vould be i^robably a year. 



Enclosed is a letter from Dr. Maurice? A. Albcrtson, 

 Director of the Uescarch Foundation of Colorado State 

 Dniversity, which sugi^ests a mechanism for arriving at an 

 integrated prograsa of research .md education aincd toward 

 agricultural development in We<^t Pakistan. Dr. Albertson's 

 essential proposal Is that a study %r .wp be organized, 

 consisting of land grant collei^;e staff morabers vfho have 

 had experience in West Pakistan, to formulate both a bro id 

 prograo and specific research projects. He estioates that 

 such a study would take frovi three to six aonths and would 

 cost about $20,000. I believe both the money and the time 

 would be ^^8ll spent. 



