CONTENTS 



Preface 



CHAPTER I 



PAGE 



ix 



INTRODUCTION 



A Clue to the Economic Maze .... 

 Three Types of Contemporary Theories of Cycles 

 Method and Results ..... 



Reservations ....... 



1 



2 



5 



11 



CHAPTER n 



GENERATING CYCLES OF PRODUCTS AND PRICES 



The Correlation of Crop Yields and Crop Prices ... 18 



Generating Cycles of Products ..... 24 



The Derived Cycles of Prices ...... 26 



Cycles in the Products of Mines ..... 28 



Cycles in the Production of the Raw Materials of Manufacture 32 



CHAPTER III 



GENERATING CYCLES REFLECTED IN A CENTURY OF PRICES 



Data and Method . 



An Analysis of a Century- of Prices 



Crop Cycles as Generating Cycles 



42 

 47 

 55 



CHAPTER IV 



THE ORIGIN OF THE EIGHT-YEAR GENERATING CYCLE 



Economic Cycles ..... 

 Meteorological Cycles .... 

 The Cause of the Eight- Year Generating Cycle 



70 



76 



88 



