396 



Sale No. 52 Conditional Resource Estimates 



5 Percentile* Mean* * 95 Percentile* ** 



Draft E IS Oil (bniionbbls) .017 1.73 6.35 



(Oct. 1980) Gas (trillion cf) .196 5.25 13.49 



SID Oil (billion bbls) .056 



(April 1982) Gas (trillion cf) .280 



These resource estimates are conditional on the existence of a commercial hydrocarbon 

 accumulation within the area under consideration. The estimates consider the probability 

 that Individual prospects may be dry or do not contain sufficient quantities of hydro- 

 carbons to warrant development. 



* If commercial hydrocarbons are present there is a 5 percent (or 1 in 20) chance of 

 finding less than this amount. 



** If commercial hydrocarbons are present, on average, this amount is expected to be 

 found. 



*** If commercial hydrocarbons are present there is a 95 percent (or 19 in 20) chance 

 of finding less than this amount. 



