- 35 



END NOTES CHAPTER 3 



1. The figure below shows a schematic relationship of the 

 factors considered in estimating the sea level rise: 



BASIS FOR SCENARIOS 



POPULATION 

 GROWTH 



PRODUCTIVITY 

 GROWTH 



COST OF 



ENERGY 

 TECHNOLOGIES 



_l L 



ENERGY 

 USE PER 



UNrr output 



FOSSIL FUEL 

 MODEL/USE 



FRACTION AIRBORNE I 



CARBON 

 CYCLE 



ATMOSPHERIC 



GROWTH TRACE 



GASES 



ATMOSPHERIC 



SOLAR IRRADIATION 



VOLCANIC 

 AEROSOLS 



CLIMATE 

 RESPONSE 



THERMAL SENSmVITY OF CUMATE 

 SYSTEM TO CHANGES IN GREENHOUSE 

 GASES AND OTHER FORCINGS 



COEFFICIENTS 

 OF HEAT 



H ISTORIC SEA 

 LEVEL RISE 



ESTIMATED 

 RATIO OF 



CONTRI BUTION 

 TO THERMAL 

 EXPANSION 



SEA LEVEL RISE 



! factor or mlrton-htp Wgh Mid low nwmirto™ w«. 6*vk,p*<i using th. pubtohed Hwntim. 



Keyfitz, Nathan, et al., 1983. Global Population (1975-2075) 

 and Labor Force (1975-2050) . Oak Ridge, TN: Oak Ridge 

 Associated Universities, Institute for Energy Analysis . 



3. Edmonds, Jae, and John Reilly, 1982b. "Global energy and 

 CO2 to the year 2050." Washington, D.C.: Oak Ridge Asso- 

 ciated Universities . 



4. Emanuel, W. R. , and Killough, G. G., computer tape provided 

 with 17-layer ocean model. Oak Ridge, TN: Oak Ridge 

 National Laboratories. 



5. Siegenthaler , Ulrich, 1983. "Uptake of excess CO2 by an 

 outcrop diffusion model of the ocean." Journal of 

 Geophysical Research . 88 :C6 : 3599-608 . 



