Appendix XVIII. lime-series models used to describe the log-transformed catch (no./24 h) of Gastero.'^tmx spp. impinged at 

 MNPS Unit 2 and analytical summary. 



Model' : Z, - RyFU2{\ 4 R2SIN{lK,2) + B}COS{tKn) - RiSIN{lKi) + RiCOSitKi)) -/(, - A2 t- As 



Model summary statistics: SSE - 1546.5, df - SI.T, MSF - 3.01, R^ -= 0.82 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Year SSe" df MSE'' Above Below 



58.7 

 58.2 



Z| - mean of LOG((no./24 h) f I) 



R„ ~ regression coefficients 



t ~ time in days 



K^ ~ constant for period of duration m months 



A " autoregressive coefficients at lag p 



M - moving average coefficients at lag p 



FU2 ~ water flow through Unit 2 



annual component of SSE 



MSE - SSF/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSE, F statistic (p 



0.05) 



91 



