Appendix XXI. Time-series models used to describe the log-transformed catch (no./24 h) of Microgadus lomcod impinged at 

 MNPS Unit 2 and analytical summary. 



Model' : Z, = R^FU2{\ + B2SIN(tK\-i) + B:iCOS(tKi2) - BiSIN(tK(,) + BiCOS(tKf,)) - /f, - A^ 



Model summary statistics: SSE = 1538.0, df = 514, MSE = 2.99, R^ = 0.69 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Year SSE df MSE*^ Above Below 



48.9 28.7 



49.7 34.9 



62.2 56.1 



23.3 52.3 



t = time In days 



K^ = constant for period of duration m months 



/Ip ~ autoregressive coefficients at lag p 



M„ ~ moving average coefficients at lag p 



FU2 ~ water flow through Unit 2 



annual component of SSE 



MSE -= SSE/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSE, F statistic (p > 0.05) 



95 



