Appendix XXII. Time-series models used to describe the iog-transformed catch (no./24 h) of Myoxncephalua aenaeus impinged 

 at MNPS Unit 2 and analytical summary. 



Model' : Z, = B|F(72(l + /?2.S//V(fA'|2) -I- R^COS{tKu)) - Ai - A2 



Model summary statistics: SSE = 1804.6, df = 516, MSB = 3.50, R^ = 0.83 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Year SSe'' df MSE^ Above Below 



7.^ = mean of LOG((no./24 h) + 1) 



B„ ~ regression coefficients 



t =^ time in days 



K^ - constant for period of duration m months 



A„ ^ autoregressive coefficients at lag p 



M„ ~ moving average coefficients at lag p 



FV2 - water flow through Unit 2 



annual component of SSE 



MSB = SSB/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSB, F statistic (p 



0.05) 



96 



