Appendix XXHI. Time-series models used to describe the log-transformed density (no./500 m ) of larval Myoxocephalus 

 aenaeus collected at stations EN and NB and analytical summary. 



Station = FN 



Model' : Z, = BiSiBiSINilKn) + RiCOS{lKi2) - BiSIN{tKi) - BsCOS{tK^)) + A\ - As - Mi " Mf, 



Model summary statistics: SSE = 111.4, df = 514, MSB = 0.22, R^ = 0.93 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Year SSE*" df MSE*^ Above Below 



0.5 

 4.6 



9.4 



12.3 



15.2 

 10.7 



5.2 

 4.4 



Station ^ NB 

 Model' : Z, = BxSl^B^SINitK^i) + BsCOS(tKn) - BtSIN(tKi) + BiCOS(tKi)) 

 Model summary statistics: SSE = 62.1, df = 360, MSB = 0.17, R^ = 0.93 



SSE 



df 



MSB 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Above Below 



5.8 



4.5 



Z^ - mean of LOG((no./500 m ) + 1) 



/?„ = regression coefTicients 



t ~ time in days 



K^ - constant for period of duration m months 



/fp ~ autoregressive coefTicients at lag p 



Wp moving average coefficients at lag p 



5 - dummy variable for season (see Table 7) 



annual component of SSE 



MSB - SSB/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSB, F statistic (p 



0.05) 



97 



