Appendix XXIV. Time-series models used to describe the log-transformed density (no./500 m ) of Tauloga nnitis eggs collected 

 at station EN and analytical summary. 



Model' : Z, =- n^s{- ttiSINitKn) - R^COS(tK\2) ^ RiSIN(tKf,) i FsCOS{lK()) + A^ + Wj 



Model summary statistics: SSR - 163.8, df - 3SR, MSP, - 0.46, R^ - 0.97 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Year SSE*" df MSE'' Above Below 



Zi - mean of LOG((no./-500 m) + I) 



/?„ ~ regression coefficients 



t - time in days 



K^ -- constant for period of duration m months 



/) ~ autoregressive coefficients at lag p 



W ~ moving average coefTicients at lag p 



S ~ dummy variable for season (see Table 7) 



annual component of SSB 



MSE - SSE/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSE, F statistic (p ^- 0.05) 



98 



