Appendix XXV. Time-series models used to describe the log-transformed density (no./500 m) of larval Tauloga onith collected 

 at stations EN and NB and anal ytical summary. 



Station = EN 



Model' : Z, = n^si" B2SIN(tKn) - B}COS{tKa) - B^SINilKt) -BsCOS{lKt) + B6SlN{lK2) + njCOSilKi)) + A, 



Model summary statistics: SSE = 151.3, df = 515, MSE = 0.29, R^ -= 0.7! 



Year 



SSE 



df 



MSE 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Above Below 



13.5 



Station - NB 



Model' : Z, = Bi5( - Bi^'f^C^n) ' fljCOSff AT,,) - BiSlNilK^) - BsCOS{tKi) + BiSII^itKi) ^ B^COS{lK2)) 



Model summary statistics: SSE = 138.5, df - 358, MSE = 0.39, r' = 0.85 



Year 



SSE 



df 



MSE 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Above Below 



t ~ time in days 



K^ ~ constant for period of duration m months 



/1p - autoregressive coefficients at lag p 



M " moving average coefficients at lag p 



5 "-" dummy variable for season (see Table 7) 



annual component of SSE 



MSP, - SSE/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSE, F statistic (p 



0.05) 



99 



