Appendix XXVIII. Time-series models used to describe Ihe log-lransformed catch (no./24 h) of Tautngntahrus adspprsus im- 

 pinged at MNPS Unit 2 and analytical summary. 



Model' : Z, = /?iFt/2(l - B2SIN(tKn) - BT,COS(lKn)) - /(| - A^ - As 



Model summary statistics: SSE = 1819.4, df - 515, MSB - ,3.53, R^ - 0,67 



Sum of deviations from model forecast 

 Year SSe" df MSE*^ Above Below 



56.9 80.0 



36.3 66.9 



I ~ time in days 



K^ - constant for period of duration m months 



A - auloregressive coefficients at lag p 



M„ - moving average coefficients at lag p 



FU7 ~= water flow through Unit 2 



annual component of SSE 



MSE - SSE/df 



Significantly higher than the model MSE, F statistic (p > 0.05) 



102 



