Cumulative Effects 



Recreational use is not expected to change. 



• JiCTION JtLTERjyiJITn'E 



The log-hauling activities of this project utilize the first 3.8 miles of Soup Creek Road and the 

 first 1 .8 miles of Cilly Creek Road, both open roads. Logging traffic may displace recreational 

 use to adjacent areas for a short time. All levels of existing recreational use on Swan River 

 State Forest are expected to continue. 



21. DENSITY AND DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION AND HOUSING: 



Estimate population clianges and additional housing the project would require. Identify cumulative effects to 

 population and housing. ., 



Due to the relatively small size of this project and the fact that people are already employed in the 

 forest-products industry in the region, no measurable cumulative impacts related to population and 

 housing would be expected. 



22. SOCIAL STRUCTURES AND MORES: 



Identify potential disruption of native or traditional lifestyles or communities. 



None. 



23. CULTURAL UNIQUENESS AND DIVERSITY: 



How would the action affect any unique quality of the area? 



None. 



24. OTHER APPROPRIATE SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CIRCUMSTANCES: 



Estimate the return to the trust. Include appropriate economic analysis. Identify potential future uses for the 

 analysis area other than existing management. Identify cumulative economic and social effects likely to occur 

 as a result of the proposed action. 



Direct and Indirect Effects 



• J\0-JICTI0J>1 JlLTEItJVJITn'E 



Since there is no direct economic activity associated with the No-Action Alternative, local 

 employment or wages would not be affected and there would be no monetary return to the trust. 



• ^CTIOJV^ETERJVJITIVE 



The potential benefit to the trust can be estimated by looking at recently sold timber sales in the 

 area and adjusting for the degree of difficulty of this proposed sale compared to the recently 

 sold timber sales. Recent sales of sawlog material have sold in the range of $43 to $48 per 

 ton. These sales had slightly lower logging costs than this sale would have, though road costs 

 on a per ton basis are roughly the same. To estimate this sale, we will take the average of the 

 above values and reduce it by $5 per ton. Hence the average of $45.50 minus $5.00 equals 

 $40.50 per ton. Using 600 MBF times 5 tons per MBF equals 3,000 tons; 3,000 tons times 

 $40.50 per ton equals $121 ,500. This is a potential return to the trust and is higher than the 



Cilly Bug Salvage Timber Sale Project Page CEA-21 



