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Table 34. Expected variation in FWP revenue from the changes expected in statewide Hcense sales of 

 antlerless elk permits. Deer B licenses, and moose pemiits in 2015, based on 2002 prices. 



^ Antlerless elk permits can only be obtained through the drawing. Nonresidents must have a valid B-10 

 license obtained through the big game combo drawings. These drawings are capped at 17,000 maximum 

 with waiting lists are kept for any opportunities that may become available after the drawing. FWP 

 assumed that the 17,000 cap would continue to be met. If desired, the successful nonresident may apply 

 for an antlerless elk permit. From 1998-2001 , approximately 8% of sales were to nonresidents and 92% 

 of sales to residents. 



^ Because a general elk license is required to receive a special perniit, FWP assumed that changes in 

 permit availability would also affect general elk license sales. Expected variation in resident and 

 nonresident permits is based on an assumption of simple apportionment of statewide variation to the 

 residency classes. This procedure slightly understates the resident and nonresident variation estimates. 



'^^ Moose permits are only obtained through the drawing. The 10% maximum allocation to nonresidents is 

 applied. However, from 1998-2001 about 3% went to nonresidents and 97% to residents. The 10% 

 maximum is not guaranteed to nonresidents during the drawings; nonresidents compete equally with 

 residents. 



** Hunting opportunities for antlerless deer will be managed through quotas for Deer B antlerless licenses. 

 Both residents and nonresidents may purchase these licenses either through the drawing or over the 

 counter. Over the four-year period 1998-2001, approximately 13% of sales were to nonresidents and 87% 

 to residents. The 10% maximum is lifted if residents have not purchased enough licenses to manage the 

 populations. 



"^ The total expected variation in revenue overstates the true statistical variation of this sum. 



121 



