The surge frequencies of various hypothetical hurricanes within 

 the bay system should be interpreted with care because a very infrequent 

 hvirricane will not necessarily produce a higher surge than those more 

 frequent. For example, niimerical computations in Galveston Bay have 

 shown the highest surge for "Beta Hurricanes" was obtained by the LR - 

 SVp in the upper regions in the bay, LR - MVp in the mid regions of the 

 bay, and LR - HVp at the lower regions of the bay. 



Section VI. CONCLUSIONS 



The hurricane and surge frequency estimates presented, although 

 considered adequate for the present, are subject to extensive improve- 

 ment upon availability of additional events. A reasonable degree of 

 conservatism has been employed throughout the analysis to account for 

 limited insight of the probable frequencies. The Texas open-coast surge 

 frequencies -are considered more reliable than those in estuaries because 

 more surge records were available for deriving the surge frequency 

 relationships . 



The relationships derived in this report apply only to the Texas 

 Coast and must not be applied to other localities. The methods, however, 

 could be used for any other coastal zone if one proceeds through steps 

 similar to those presented, but using factors characteristic to the zone 

 under consideration. 



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