CONTENTS 



Page 



Section I. INTRODUCTION 1 



Section II. OPEN-COAST SURGE FREQUENCY 3 



1 . General 3 



2. Historical Hurricane Data 3 



3. Surge Profile U 



k. Computed Surge Heights 8 



5. Initial Generalized Surge Frequency 11 



6. Surge Frequencies at Galveston, Texas 11 



7. Final Generalized Surge Frequency 1^ 



Section III. FREQUENCY OF HYPOTHETICAL HURRICANES 23 



1 . General 23 



2. Probability Frequencies of Hurricane Parameters 23 



3. Probable Storm Frequencies 23 



Section IV. REGRESSION ANALYSIS 27 



Section V. BAY SURGE FREQUENCIES 28 



1. General 28 



2. Prediction Method 29 



Section VI. CONCLUSIONS 31 



LITERATURE CITED 32 



ILLUSTRATIONS 



Figixre 



1. 

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 k. 

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 10. 



11. 

 12. 



Typical Surge Profile Along Texas Coast . 



Beta Hurricane Surge Heights Along Texas Coast 



Frequency of Hurricane Surge on Open Texas Coast . . . . 

 Initial Generalized Surge Frequency - Texas Hurricanes . 

 Hurricane Surge Frequency Comparison at Galveston, Texas 

 Generalized Hurricane Surge Frequency - Texas Hurricanes 

 Final Generalized Surge Frequency - Texas Hurricanes 

 Surge Frequency on Open Coast - Sabine, Texas . . . 

 Surge Frequency on Open Coast - Galveston, Texas . . 

 Surge Frequency on Open Coast - Freeport , Texas . . 

 Surge Frequency on Open Coast - Port O'Connor, Texas 

 Surge Frequency on Open Coast - Mustang Island, Texas 



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