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a) Surface wind for hurricane Car la 43 



b) Surface wind for hurricane Allen 46 



3. Tide gauge data 50 



4. Simulation procedure 58 



5. Results of Car la simulation 60 



6. Results of Allen simulation 77 



CHAPTER IV PARAMETRIC STUDY 101 



1. Selection of paths 101 



2. Hypothetical storms 103 



3. Simulation procedure 104 



4. Results of parametric simulations 106 



a) General results 106 



b) Simulated hydrographs Ill 



5. Long period variation of tjq 156 



a) The 3.4 day volume mode 156 



b) The 6.5 day tilt mode 161 



6. Results from related simulations 167 



a) Variation of pressure drop 167 



b) Barotropic model 171 



c) Radiation boundary condition 175 



d) Limited area model 179 



CHAPTER V SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 191 



REFERENCES 199 



