useful system of forecasting crop-weather. Officials of the U. S. 

 Weather Bureau opposed the bill and it was thot best not to call 

 it up. Senator Bard was, at that time, representing California in 

 the U. S. Senate. 



Evidently the real test of long range, or crop-weather forecasts 

 is in determining whether the forces are better than guessing. 

 The Clayton rules required the forecaster to say whether the average 

 of consecutive three-day temperatures will be above, about or below 

 normal, and whether they will rise, fall, or be stationary. A rise or 

 fall of not more than two degrees is not considered a change. In 

 1905 Prof. Clayton tested a forecast for St. Paul, Minn., made by 

 the writer, to cover three months. The Clayton lules were used for 

 that verification, the forecasts proved to be 70 per cent good, 30 per 

 cent bad, and were published. Important improvements have been 

 made since. The forecasts were in possession of Prof. Clayton two 

 months in advance. The Clayton rules for testing rainfall forecasts 

 are similar to the rules for temperatures. 



In December, 1916, the writer predicted an extensive drouth to 

 occur during crop season of 1917 to cover the country south of the 

 Missouri river and between the lower Mississippi river and the crest 

 of the Rockies. In midsummer of 1917 he advised to sow Winter 

 wheat that Fall, or Spring grain early in 1918; that early maturing 

 crops of 1918 would be best; to avoid planting corn and cotton for 

 1918, in the predicted drouth sections. Early in 1918 he predicted 

 a severe drouth to begin about June 15, 1918, in about same country 

 over which the 1917 drouth extended — the 1918 drouth to continue 

 thru the crop season of 1918. These forecasts were 90 per cent good. 

 Approximately correct forecasts of most of the severe storms of 1917- 

 18 were published one to six months' in advance. These forecasts 

 are published every week in many newspapers and magazines, having 

 a circulation of about 1,500,000 copies. 



The theories upon which Planetary Weatherology is based are 

 that the members of the solar system, thru electro-magnetism, affect 

 each other; that these effects vary as magnets having orbital revolu- 

 tions and axial rotations; their effects also vary as to whether the 

 planetary effects are reckoned from heliocentric or geocentric posi- 

 tions. Normal temperatures and precipitation constitute the base 

 lines for weather forecasts. I call these normals the Sun lines. They 

 are caused by the Sun as it progresses north from March 21 to 

 September 22, and South from September 22 to March 21. Begin- 

 ning with Jan. 1, the daily temperatures for 40 or more years are 

 added and their sums divided by the number of years. The results 

 give the normal temperature line for every day. Precipitation nor- 

 mals are similarly obtained. 



These being the base lines, which I call the Sun lines, the records, 

 covering from 60 to 100 years, are compared with these normals and 

 new records are thus produced, showing the days of the month on 

 which the temperatures and precipitation were above or below nor- 



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