190J;.] C. hitile— Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. 35 



occasion. In my opinion recurving is present in all severe cyclones, but 

 it occurs in great variety of degree. Anyone sceptical on this point has 

 only to look at plate XLVII of the Handbook, 2nd edition, and he 

 will find there the tracks of the eight severe cyclones described in tho 

 text. The chief feature is that no two are alike, and that not one is 

 like the track of the cyclone of the 14tli November. 



If it had been possible to estimate on Sir J. Eliot's system of 

 forecasting, that is, by considering changes of pressure and variations 

 from the normal, what the future of the storm would be, it might be 

 expected that it would be shown in the Indian Daily Weather Review 

 for those days. The opinions therein expressed are arrived at on lines 

 laid down by him, and by subordinates directly responsible to him. 

 Reference is made to the numbers from November 13th to 15th, from 

 which the following extracts are made, 

 November 13/^. 



" The fall of pressure is perhaps most significant at the coast 

 stations round the Bay, as it has been accompanied with a change in 

 the direction of the winds.'* 



" The change in the direction of the winds on the Cororaandel and 

 Circars coasts makes it probable that rain will decrease during the day 

 in the south of the Peninsula." 

 November \4ith. 



" Another general fall of pressure has taken place and the fall 

 has been rapid on the Orissa and North Ganjam coasts A depres- 

 sion is forming in the Bay of Bengal and pressure is in considerable to 

 large defect at the stations round the North of the Bay." 



" Winds are strong at Diamond Island and are cyclonic in direc- 

 tion round the Bay, though the circulation is not well defined." 



" The depression in the Bay will probably intensify during the 

 day. It is apparently advancing in a northerly direction." 

 November Ihtli. 



'* The depression in the Bay has advanced in a north-easterly direc- 

 tion, and its lowest point is this morning lying off the Arakan coast 

 near Akyab, where pressure is nearly a quarter of an inch in defect." 



" Winds show a cyclonic circulation round the depression in the 

 north-east of the Bay " 



" The depression in the north-east of the Bay will probably cross 

 the coast during the day and fill up rapidly." 



The above remarks are all that were made regarding the storm on 

 the dates referred to. They appear to me to show — 



(J) that when the Madura was within 200 miles of the centre 

 of a disturbance sufficiently wide-spread to aifect the whole of 



