916 HEARINGS BEFORE COMMITTEE ON AGRICULTURE. 
Professor Moorg. A little one like this; this is the New York maz 
[exhibiting map]. 
The CuarrmMan. On that map, at the bottom, what are the names of 
the points at which you give the thermometer and rainfall? 
Professor Moors. It is a very complete map; it covers about 160 
stations. ; 
Mr. Havucen. What do you figure as the percentage of accuracy as 
to these forecasts? 
Professor Moors. The accuracy averages about 83 per cent. 
Mr. Haucen. Have you any printed material on that point in your 
report? 
a ie Moore. We have nothing printed but we average the 
work very carefully, and I havea section of one of my divisions devot- 
ing its entire time to the verification of the work of the local fore- 
casters. Each six months the report of every man’s work comes to 
me. I will give you the result of the last six months. As a result 
four men were commended because their work was of such a high 
character as to merit special mention. Those four local forecasters 
had exceeded the State forecasters. Five were given ‘‘excellent” for 
having exceeded the State forecasters. Twenty-five were notified that 
their work was satisfactory—about equaled the State forecasters. 
These are forecasts for the particular localities made after the fore- 
caster gets the information from the central office for his State. 
Twelve had their authority to make forecasts revoked. It is a cold- 
blooded survival of the fittest. They will never be allowed to make 
forecasts again unless they are reinstated. A number were cautioned 
that their work was below the standard of accuracy, and unless better 
result was shown in the next six months their authority would be 
revoked. That is the discipline of the Bureau. 
The Cuarrman. Is the lake region more difficult of forecasting? 
Professor Moore. Yes, sir; right on the border. There is a differ- 
ence between the lake temperature and the land temperature near the 
water that complicates matters. 
The Cuarrman. I was thinking of the State of Michigan, between 
the two large bodies of water. ° 
Professor Moore. Yes, sir; it is difficult under those circumstances. 
The Cuarrman. Now we will go back to this increase of $135,000, 
of which $35,000 is for maps. What do you intend to do with the 
balance ¢ 
Professor Moore. $35,000 for maps; $30,000 for floods; $20,000 
for new stations. 
Mr. Grarr. That item was in the previous paragraph? 
; Professor Moore. No, sir. Now add $50,000 for tele raphic serv- 
ices, and you have all the items that go to make up that $135,000 
increase. 
The Cuarrman. Tell us about the $50,000 for telegraphing. 
Professor Moorz. Nearly all of these requests [exhibiting papers] 
are for extension in the way of more reports. For an illustration, on 
this map [exhibiting map] we do not give reports from Fort Worth, 
Taylor, San Antonio, Pueblo, Los Angeles, Red Bluff, Roseburg, etc. 
This is a very a Cte map. The commercial interests ask for 
complete maps, and I think it would be advisable to spend more money 
annually for the dissemination of more reports. That is only one illus- 
tration of many of our other maps. The $50,000 are for telegraphing 
weather information. 
