- 35 - 



It is emphasized that these figures relate to the use of domestic ci 

 types plus noncigar types in cigars, but do not cover the use of cigar-'- 

 tobacco in other outlets. These other uses, necessary to establish a 

 disappearance requirement, are considered below. Furthermore, projections for 

 wrapper assume no marked changes from the existing pattern of use. It i >g- 

 nized that substantial developmental work on reconstituted tobacco for wrapper 

 is currently being conducted, and any widespread application of wrapper in sneet 

 form in place of natural wrappers would, of course, make the projection used : 

 wrapper requirements too high. 



On this basis, total requirements for domestic tobacco for cigars would 

 increase about 9 million pounds (farm-sales weight), including about 7 million 

 of filler. This assumes that all of the projected requirement of imported 

 tobacco — J+9 million pounds, unstemmed weight — could be obtained. In the recent 

 3 year period, an average of KG million pounds of imported tobacco were used, of 

 which 31 million pounds were from Cuba. To the extent that import availabilities 

 fell short of the projected requirements, cigar output would be curtailed or an 

 increase in domestic tobacco would be required to offset the import deficit. 

 But this raises the question of whether manufacturers could successfully use 

 larger proportions of domestic cigar types in their blends than they now use. 



Scrap chewing manufacture in recent years has shown a small downtrend, 

 and output in 1 965-66 will likely be near 31 million pounds, compared with - 

 recent 3-year average of about 32-1/2 million. Production at the projected level 

 would require about 28 million pounds of cigar-type tobacco (farm-sales weight) — 

 approximately 5 percent less than the estimated average utilization in 1958-59— 

 1960-61. 



No clear trends are evidenced in U. S. exports of cigar tobacco, and it 

 is assumed that shipments abroad in 1965-66 will not depart markedly from the 

 recent ^-yeex average of about 8 million pounds, (farm-sales weight.) 



Considering only cigar - type tobacco , projected requirements for the d 

 mestic types in all outlets by the 1965-66 marketing year total about - Ll- 

 pounds, (farm-sales weight), as shown below: 



Use of domestic cigar 

 types only for — 



Average 1958-59— -196O-6I: Projected 196?- 



Million pounds, 

 farm-sales weight 



Cigars 



Scrap chewing 



Exports 



Total 



Millie: 

 farm-sales - 



96.0 



10fc. 



29.3 



. 





. 



133.5 



:.k 



The overall increase by I965-66 would be about 7 million pound. -- 

 above the recent 3-year average. The reader is again reminded 

 tions stated must be kept in mind. 



