36 



TIMBER TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES 



Table 24. — Indexes of value of shipments of manufactured products, by product group, 19^8-2000 



[1962 = 100] 



Product group 



1948 



1960 



1962 



Projections 





1970 



1980 



1990 



2000 



Furniture : 

 Household 



55 

 51 



43 



110 



55 



68 



88 

 91 



91 



95 



91 



100 



100 

 100 



100 

 100 

 100 

 100 



130 

 125 



150 

 105 

 130 

 130 



175 

 175 



210 

 110 

 190 

 180 



220 

 250 



285 

 130 

 255 

 255 



290 



Commercial and institutional 



Consumer goods: 

 Income-sensitive 



340 

 380 



Income-insensitive 



140 



Commercial equipment 



340 



Industrial machinery and equipment. 



335 



Sources: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. Past data derived from U.S. Department of Commerce, 

 Bureau of the Census reports, Annual Survey of Manufactures and related material. 



of sales for the year 2000 from a low of 140 (1962 

 = 100) for the income-insensitive consumer goods 

 to an index of 380 for sales of income-sensitive 

 consumer goods. 



Lumber Use Per Dollar of Sales Dropping 

 for Most Manufactured Products 



In addition, lumber has been extensively re- 

 placed by other wood products such as particle- 

 board and plywood, and by nonwood materials 

 such as plastics and metals. Further decreases in 

 lumber use per dollar of sales have been assumed. 

 By 2000 these decreases vary from 46 percent for 

 income-insensitive consumer goods to 70 percent 

 for industrial machinery and equipment. 



Lumber use per dollar of sales has declined in 

 recent years for practically all wood-using products 

 (table 25). As with manufactured products in 

 general, greater emphasis on style and quality 

 and rising labor costs have tended to increase 

 sales without expanding raw material require- 

 ments. 



Projections Show 26 Percent 

 Rise in Lumber Use by 2000 



For all products combined, projections of lum- 

 ber use rise from 4.2 biUion board feet in 1962 to 

 5.3 billion board feet by 2000 — an increase of 



Table 25. — Lumber use per dollar ^ of manufacturers' sales by product group, 194^8-2000 



[Board feet] 



Product group 



1948 



1960 



1962 



Projections 





1970 



1980 



1990 



2000 



Furniture: 



Household. _ 



0.977 

 .318 



.279 

 .276 

 .184 

 .011 



0.650 

 .266 



.123 

 .274 

 .095 

 .005 



0.615 

 .255 



.111 

 .260 

 .088 

 .005 



0.500 

 .220 



.080 

 .225 

 .070 

 .004 



0.390 

 .190 



.060 

 .180 

 .060 

 .003 



0.320 

 .160 



.050 

 .155 

 .050 

 .002 



0.270 



Commercial and institutional 



Consumer goods: 



Income-sensitive. 



.130 

 .040 



Income-insensitive. . 



.140 



Commercial equipment 



Industrial machinery and equipment. 



.040 

 .0015 



> 1961 dollars. 



