54 



TIMBER TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES 



Large increases in potential demands for paper 

 and board are in prospect in various regions of 

 the world, according to a recent study of the 

 FAO.-^ Because of limited supplies of pulping 

 materials in many countries and the relatively 

 advanced technology of pulp and paper production 

 in Canada and the United States, it seems likely 

 that both the United States and Canada will be 

 able to export increasing tonnages of paper and 

 board products as well as wood pulp. Some 

 further increases in U.S. imports from Canada, 

 particularly newsprint, are also considered likely. 

 The net effect of these anticipated trends would 

 be to increase both net imports and domestic 

 production (table 38). 



NewWood Pulp is the Principal 

 Fibrous Material Used in the 

 Manufacture of Paper and Board 



Some 28.6 million tons of wood pulp was con- 

 sumed by U.S. paper and board mills in 1962 — 

 about 74 percent of all fibrous materials used by 

 the U.S. paper and board industry (table 39). 

 Consumption of waste paper amounted to 9.1 

 million tons, and other fibers such as rags, straw, 

 and bagasse 1.0 million tons. 



25 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United 

 Nations, World Demand for Paper to 1975. Rome, 1960. 



Wood pulp has been displacing other fibrous 

 materials in the manufacture of paper and board. 

 Between 1950 and 1962, for example, the use of 

 wood pulp per ton of paper and board produced 

 in the United States increased from an average 

 of 0.68 ton to 0.76 ton (table 39 and fig. 24). 

 In the same period, use of waste paper per ton of 

 paper and board produced declined from 0.33 ton 

 to 0.24 ton. Other fibrous materials such as 

 straw, bagasse, and rags dropped from 0.06 ton 

 to about 0.03 ton. 



On the basis of recent trends in use of fibrous 

 materials in the manufacture of each of the 11 

 major grades of paper and board, it was estimated 

 that average use of wood pulp per ton of paper 

 and board produced would rise to about 0.83 ton 

 by 2000 (table 39 and fig. 24). Use of waste 

 paper per ton was assumed to drop to about 

 0.17 ton, and other fibrous materials to about 

 0.02 ton. 



Demand forWood Pulp May 

 Total 91 Million Tons by 2000 



Estimates of prospective wood pulp require- 

 ments for domestic manufacture of paper and 

 board (plus small quantities of pressed and molded 

 pulp goods) based upon the projections of domestic 



Table 39. — Fibrous materials consumed in the manujacture of paper and board, 1919- 



2000 



Year 



Consumption of fibrous materials 



Consumption of fibrous materials per ton of . 

 paper and board produced 





Total 



Wood 

 pulp 



Waste 

 paper 



Other 



Total 



Wood 

 pulp 



Waste 

 paper 



Other 



1919 



Million 

 tons 

 6.6 

 11.6 

 11.0 

 15.5 

 19.0 

 25.9 

 31.8 

 35.7 

 36.6 

 38.6 



Million 



tons 



4.0 



6.3 



6.4 



9.8 



10.8 



16.5 



21.5 



25.7 



26.7 



28.6 



Million 

 tons 

 1.9 

 3.8 

 3.6 

 4.7 

 6.8 

 8.0 

 9.0 

 9.0 

 9.0 

 9.1 



Million 

 tons 

 0.7 

 1.4 

 1.0 

 1.0 

 1.3 

 1.4 

 1.3 

 1.0 

 .9 

 1.0 



Tons 

 1.11 

 1.04 

 1.05 

 1.07 

 1.09 

 1.06 

 1.06 

 1.04 

 1.03 

 1.03 



Tons 

 0.67 

 .57 

 .62 

 .68 

 .62 

 .68 

 .71 

 .75 

 .75 

 .76 



Tons 

 0.31 

 .35 

 .34 

 .32 

 .39 

 .33 

 .30 

 .26 

 .25 

 .24 



Tons 

 0.13 



1929 



1935 



.13 

 .09 



1940 



.07 



1945 



.08 



1950 



.06 



1955 



.05 



1960 



.03 



1961 



.03 



1962 



.03 







PROJECTIONS 



1970 



48.9 



65.0 



84.9 



109.4 



37.0 

 51.0 

 68.1 

 88.8 



10.9 

 12.7 

 15.1 

 18.4 



1.0 

 1.3 

 1.7 

 2.2 



1.03 

 1.02 

 1.02 

 1.02 



0.78 

 .80 

 .82 

 .83 



0.23 

 .20 

 .18 

 .17 



0.02 



1980 



.02 



1990 



.02 



2000 



.02 







Note: Figures in columns may not add to total because 

 of rounding. 



Sources: 1919-62 United States Pulp Producers Associ- 

 ation, Inc., Wood Pulp Statistics (annual) reporting 

 statistics of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Pro- 

 jections, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 



