A SUMMARY OF THE TIMBER RESOURCE REVIEW 



19 



Table 1 .- — Consumption and projected demand for selected timber products and percentage change in demand 



from 1952 consumption ' 



Item 



Saw logs for 

 lumber 



Pulpwood 



All industrial 

 wood 



Fuelwood 



All products 



1952 consumption 



Lower projected demand: 

 1975 



Million 

 bd.-ft. 

 41, 462 



47, 600 



54, 800 



55, 500 

 79, 000 



90, 000 



Per- 

 cent 2 



+ 15 

 + 32 



+ 34 

 + 91 



+ 117 



Million 

 cords 

 35.4 



65. 

 90.0 



72.0 

 100. 



125. 



Per- 

 cent^ 



+ 84 

 + 154 



+ 103 



+ 182 



+ 253 



Million 

 cu. ft. 

 10, 266 



13, 373 

 17, 407 



15, 388 

 21,920 



25, 700 



Per- 

 cent 2 



+ 30 



+ 70 



+ 50 

 + 114 



+ 150 



Million 

 cu. ft. 

 2,008 



818 

 519 



818 

 519 



519 



Per- 

 cent 2 



-59 



-74 



-59 

 -74 



-74 



Million 

 cu. ft. 

 12, 274 



14, 191 

 17, 926 



16, 206 

 22, 439 



26,219 



Per- 

 cent 2 



+ 16 



2000 - 



+ 46 



Medium projected demand: 

 1975 . .- --. 



+ 32 



2000 --- - - 



+ 83 



Upper projected demand: 

 2000 - - 



+ 114 











' Includes roundwood equivalent of net imports of lum- 

 ber, pulpwood, woodpulp and paper, veneer logs and bolts 

 and veneer-log equivalent of veneer products. The 1952 



estimates also reflect adjustments for changes in stocks. 

 2 Change from 1952. 



Per Capita Trend Downward for Lower Pro- 

 jections; Upward for Medium and Upper 

 Projections 



The increases in projected demand for lumber, 

 pulpwood, and all industrial wood as summarized 

 above seem extraordinarily large. Particularly is 

 this so when expressed in terms of percentage in- 

 creases relative to 1952 consumption (table 7). 



The main reason for these large increases in total 

 demand is the assumption with respect to popula- 

 tion which, as previously pointed out, is predicated 

 upon Census Bureau estimates. Even the lower 

 projected demand indicates increases over 1952 

 consumption despite an assumption as to sub- 

 stantial increase in prices relative to competing 

 materials. This means that the assumption as to 

 increase in population more than offsets the as- 

 sumption as to rise in price for tiie lower projected 

 demand. 



In terms of per capita consumption, the pro- 

 jected demand estimates appear quite different. 



Lumber, for example, shows a dechning per capita 

 demand for each level and for each of the two time 

 periods except for the medium projection in 2000. 

 Pulpwood, on the otlier hand, shows an increase 

 in per capita demand for all three projections and 

 for both 1975 and 2000. 



In terms of all industrial wood, the lower projec- 

 tion shows a slightly declining per capita con- 

 sumption. This would be expected in view of the 

 assumption as to price increases for that projec- 

 tion. On the other hand, for all industrial wood 

 both the medium and upper projected demands 

 show increased per capita demand over 1952. 

 These increases in per capita demand shown in 

 table 8 and figure 8 are reflections of improvements 

 in standard of living. This was also evident in 

 the greater rate of increase projected for gross 

 national product than for population. 



As shown in table 8 and figure 8, the upper pro- 

 jected per capita demand in 2000 is not as high as 

 the per capita demand for the medium projection 

 in that year. This is true with respect to lumber, 



Table 8. — Per capita consumption and projected per capita demand for selected timber products 



Item 



Lumber 



Pulpwood 



All 



industrial 



wood 



Fuelwood 



All 

 products 



1952 consumption 



Lower projected demand: 



1975 .- ... .- ... 



Ronrd-feet 

 264 



221 



199 



258 

 287 



250 



Cubic feet 

 17. 2 



21. 9 



23. 7 



24.5 

 25. 9 



24. 8 



Cubic feet 

 65. 4 



62. 2 



63. 3 



71.6 



79. 7 



71.4 



Cubic feet 

 12. 8 



3. 8 

 1. 9 



3. 8 

 1. 9 



1. 4 



Cubic feet 

 78.2 



66. 



2000 . _ . 



65. 2 



Medium projected demand: 



1975 .. . . . - 



75. 4 



2000 



81. 6 



Upper projected demand: 



2000 - - - . . - 



72. 8 







