FUTUEE DEMAND FOR TIMBER 



391 



Table 221. — Volume of new nonresidential con- 

 struction (except railroad and jar m) put in place, 

 1955; projections to 1975 and 2000 



[At 1953 prices] 



Table 222. — Department oj Commerce estimates oj 

 lumber consumed in new nonresidential construc- 

 tion {excluding railroad and jarm) , 1949 





1955 

 actual' 



Projections to — 





1975, 

 GNP 



at 



$630 



billion 



2000 



Class of construction 



GNP 



at 

 $1,200 

 billion 



GNP 



at 

 $1,450 

 billion 



Private: 



Industrial buildings.. 

 Commercial buildings. 



Other buildings 



Utilities 



Million 

 dollars 

 2,404 

 2,797 

 2,073 

 3,894 

 147 



Million 

 dollars 

 3,600 

 3,200 

 3,100 

 6,300 

 200 



Million 

 dollars 

 7,400 

 6,300 

 6, 100 

 12, 100 

 300 



Million 



dollars 



8,800 



7,500 



7,400 



14, 400 



All other private 



300 



Total private 



11,315 



16, 400 



32, 200 



38, 400 



Public: 



Buildings 



4,057 

 1,266 



4,286 

 998 



548 

 405 



6,600 

 1,000 



7, 100 

 1,600 



1,700 

 600 



12, 800 

 1,800 



14, 000 

 2, 700 



2,700 

 800 



15, 300 



Military facilities 



Highways 



Sewer and water 



Conservation and de- 

 velopment 



All other public 



2, 100 

 16, 800 



3, 200 



3,200 

 1,000 



Total public 



11,560 



18, 600 



34, 800 



41, 600 



Private and public total. 



22, 875 



35, 000 



67, 000 



80, 000 



'U. S. Department of Commerce and U. S. Department 

 of Labor. Construction Review. February 1956. (Values 

 converted from 1947-49 prices to 1953 prices.) 



medium projection by allowing for price-induced 

 substitution amounting to 20 percent in 1975 and 

 40 percent in 2000: 



AfUlion 

 bonrd-feel 



Consumption in 1952 5, 400 



Projections to 1975: 



Lower 5,900 



Medium 7,400 



Projections to 2000: 



Lower 8,000 



Medium 13,400 



Upper 16,000 



Maintenance and Repair Construction 

 Requires Substantial Quantities of 

 Lumber 



Normal maintenance and repair of residential 

 and nonresidential structures call for substantial 

 quantities of lumber. In the discussion to follow, 

 maintenance and repair construction includes 

 (a) alterations and additions to residential struc- 



Class of construction 



Lumber 



con- 

 sumed ' 



Volume 

 of con- 

 struction 

 in 1953 

 dollars 2 



Lumber 



per 



dollar 



Private, nonresidential: 



Industrial buildings 



Commercial buildings 



Other buildings 



Utilities, excluding rail- 

 road 



All other, excluding farm.. 



Million 

 hoard- 

 feet 

 327 

 450 

 '547 



839 

 2 



Million 



dollars 



1, 177 



1, 184 



1,450 



3, 722 

 97 



Board- 

 foot 

 0.278 

 . 380 

 .377 



. 225 

 .021 



Total 



2, 165 



7,630 









Public, nonresidential: 

 Buildings 



674 

 117 

 436 

 152 



194 

 57 



2, 449 

 158 



2,359 

 760 



974 

 377 



. 275 



Military facilities 



Highways. _ . . 



.741 

 < . 185 



Sewer and water 



. 200 



Conservation and develop- 

 ment . . ... 



. 199 



All other 



. 151 







Total _ ._. . 



1,630 



7,077 









Private and public total 



3,795 



14, 707 





' U. S. Department of Commerce. Construction and 

 Construction Materials, p. 9. August 1950. 



2 U. S. Department of Commerce and U. S. Department 

 of Labor. Construction Volume and Costs, 1915-1954, 

 Statistical Supplement to Construction Review, Vol. I. 

 1956. (Values converted from 1947-49 prices to 1953 

 prices.) 



' Excluding 1,976 million board-feet for railroads. 

 (Commerce estimate apparently did not include crossties 

 nor lumber for cars.) 



'• A subsequent estimate by the Department of Com- 

 merce of lumber used in highway construction in 1955 

 indicates a factor of about 0.09() board-foot per dollar 

 {Construction Review, September 1956, p. 6). This lower 

 estimate has been used in projections. 



tures,'"^ (b) maintenance and repair of residential 

 structures, and (c) nonresidential maintenance 

 and repair, excluding railroad and farm. 



Alterations and Additions to Residential 

 Structures Related to Number of House- 

 holds 



This class of activity includes rearrangements 

 of interior space by structural changes such as 

 the installation of new partitions or shifting of 

 original partitions, modernization of kitchens and 



'"^ Alterations and additions are commonly classified as 

 new construction, but it is more convenient to consider 

 such activity here along with maintenance and repair 

 rather than elsewhere. 



